The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 12 of the 2023/24 English Premier League. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Wolverhampton vs. Tottenham
Tottenham in the head-to-head at 2.18 (Unibet)
Tottenham +0.5 at 1.40 (Betfair)
Tottenham’s odds have drifted out from 1.67 in reaction to their home defeat to Chelsea. I’m going to back them to bounce back and take advantage of this odds drift. Tottenham were reduced to nine men against Chelsea and prior to that they had gone 8-1-0. Wolverhampton, meanwhile, are missing the injured Pedro Neto, which has disrupted their return to form. In his absence they lost to Sheffield United last week, a side that had gone 0-1-9 going into that match.
Man Utd vs. Luton
Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 (Betfair)
Five of Luton’s six away games this season went over 2.5 goals. Twelve out of Manchester United’s 19 home games over the last twelve months went over 2.5 goals.
Crystal Palace vs. Everton
Draw at 3.30 (bet365)
The draw is the value play here. Crystal Palace’s home record over the last twelve months is 4-8-5 (47% draw frequency) while Everton’s away record is 3-7-7 (41% draw frequency). Since promotion, the Eagles have gone 1-6-3 at home against the Toffees (60% draw frequency).
Bournemouth vs. Newcastle
Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.73 (Betfair)
Newcastle -1.5 at 2.95 (Betfair)
Bournemouth bring 1-0-5 form into this game and seven of their nine home defeats over the last twelve months were by 2+ goals. Newcastle bring 5-2-0 form into this game and four of their six away wins over the last twelve months were by 2+ goals.
Aston Villa vs. Fulham
Aston Villa in the head-to-head at 1.61 (Unibet)
Aston Villa have won twelve consecutive home games. They have also won their last two home games against Fulham.