The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 11 of the 2023/24 English Premier League. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Fulham vs. Man Utd
Man Utd in the head-to-head at 2.08 (Betfair)
Fulham continue to struggle for goals since the departure of Aleksandar Mitrovic. Only five teams, including the three newly promoted sides, have scored fewer than the Cottagers’ nine this campaign. Fulham have gone 0-1-7 as the home underdog over the last twelve months and they have lost six in a row at home to Manchester United. United have won their last two away games and they have gone 7-2-3 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. They lost to Man City last week, however United have gone 7-1-2 on the back of a defeat over the last twelve months.
Man City vs. Bournemouth
Man City in the head-to-head at 1.12 (Betfair)
Man City have had six days to prepare for this fixture while Bournemouth will be backing up after playing Liverpool midweek in the EFL Cup. Bournemouth have gone 0-0-12 against Manchester City since promotion. Five of their six away defeats to City were by 2+ goal margins and four were by 4-goal margins.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.34 (Betfair)
All six of Bournemouth’s Premier League visits to Etihad Stadium went over 2.5 goals. Coming into this game, Bournemouth’s last five games went over 2.5 goals and their last four away games went over 2.5.
Everton vs. Brighton
Brighton in the head-to-head at 2.28 (Betfair)
Brighton +0.5 at 1.43 (Betfair)
Everton have gone 1-0-4 at home this season and they have gone 1-1-4 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Brighton are on a four-game winless streak (0-2-2), however three of those four games were against tough opponents and they dominated Fulham last week until they faltered in the continuing rain. Prior to that the Seagulls had won five of their last six, with all five wins coming by 2+ goal margins. Each of the last four meetings between Everton and Brighton was won by the away team. Everton did win last week, however they have gone 0-1-6 on the back of a win over the last twelve months.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 (Betfair)
Brighton’s last ten away fixtures went over 2.5 goals and their last three visits to Goodison Park saw 5+ goals.
Brentford vs. West Ham
Brentford in the head-to-head at 2.16 (Betfair)
Brentford +0.5 at 1.37 (Betfair)
Brentford are unbeaten in their last 13 London derbies. After a recent barren run they have turned a corner with a 3-0 home win over Burnley and a 2-0 away win over Chelsea. Brentford have gone 4-0-0 against West Ham since promotion and their last three wins over the Hammers were by 2-0 scorelines. West Ham bring a two-game losing streak into this clash. The Hammers have gone 1-1-10 as the away underdog over the last twelve months.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal
Arsenal in the head-to-head at 2.58 (Betfair)
Arsenal +0.5 at 1.48 (Betfair)
Newcastle bring 4-2-0 form into this fixture, however all of those games were against sides ranked 9th or below. The Magpies have lost three consecutive games to sides in the top seven on the table. Arsenal are unbeaten in eleven games and they won this fixture 2-0 in May. Looking back further, Arsenal have gone 8-2-2 in their last twelve visits to St. James’ Park. Newcastle have accumulated injury headaches leading into this game. Alexander Isak, Jacob Murphy and Elliot Anderson have picked up injuries, while Tonali has been handed a 10-month ban from football. Also expected to be out are Sven Botman, Lewis Miley and Harvey Barnes.
Tottenham vs. Chelsea
Tottenham in the head-to-head at 2.22 (Betfair)
Tottenham +0.5 at 1.41 (Betfair)
Tottenham bring 8-1-0 form into this game and they have gone 4-0-0 at home this campaign. Chelsea have gone 0-1-4 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. They did enjoy a long unbeaten run against Spurs, but that streak was broken by a 2-0 defeat at this venue in February and Tottenham are currently flying under new manager Ange Postecoglou.